Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.492386 2.958537 3.457454 4.027985 4.659189 5.333124 6.104023
2025-01-19 1.705700 2.311670 3.015363 3.878960 4.896489 6.044286 7.423775
2025-01-26 1.264395 1.946986 2.801730 3.916688 5.299533 6.927274 8.956697
2025-02-02 0.959537 1.676544 2.641051 3.969669 5.690956 7.788727 10.481002
2025-02-09 0.686024 1.380655 2.389611 3.858067 5.842189 8.339695 11.629948
2025-02-16 0.488374 1.143421 2.172449 3.751413 5.968886 8.841463 12.712596
2025-02-23 0.365606 0.992374 2.051506 3.753957 6.224153 9.500426 13.996658
2025-03-02 0.259670 0.837023 1.894478 3.678665 6.353757 9.984601 15.055269
2025-03-09 0.213262 0.785624 1.898219 3.840502 6.818374 10.922758 16.720800
2025-03-16 0.156747 0.689867 1.807292 3.840009 7.039312 11.527666 17.951251
2025-03-23 0.133456 0.667448 1.845830 4.047989 7.572436 12.572173 19.785670
2025-03-30 0.108742 0.630693 1.850076 4.195441 8.015374 13.496828 21.471013
2025-04-06 0.081457 0.573825 1.808338 4.265599 8.350098 14.288804 23.009664
2025-04-13 0.053457 0.493840 1.703434 4.214528 8.491211 14.806109 24.180989
2025-04-20 0.038944 0.454077 1.679383 4.304790 8.856443 15.652558 25.820528
2025-04-27 0.027523 0.416448 1.652701 4.385573 9.205701 16.479454 27.442283
2025-05-04 0.014596 0.347426 1.533338 4.277510 9.237643 16.834974 28.402991
2025-05-11 0.006686 0.287416 1.420497 4.168409 9.257929 17.167761 29.331024
2025-05-18 0.003220 0.252435 1.367656 4.173674 9.468394 17.787588 30.674540
2025-05-25 0.000956 0.209894 1.278956 4.093942 9.525704 18.171458 31.680101
2025-06-01 0.000523 0.204353 1.308020 4.268449 10.032056 19.253006 33.709068
2025-06-08 0.000084 0.178238 1.259742 4.268196 10.227056 19.853998 35.043711
2025-06-15 0.000036 0.179458 1.310022 4.491635 10.827654 21.095133 37.327770